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that a rating shock can have substantial costs. Generally, the interest rate adjusts rather quickly to the risk premium … that is in line with the rating. For most ratings, this risk premium is only marginal. However, it becomes substantial when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010519261
For most European Union countries the government expenditure exceeds government revenue which could lead in the long run to an increase in the government debt to GDP ratio. Considering the distortions generated by the financial and economic crisis, followed by the debt crisis, both local and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199903
This paper studies the impact of the state-dependent risk of a government default on the correlation of the scal … balance and current account. We use a small open economy model where nonlinear risk premia arise endogenously when the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341080
The objective of this paper is to assess whether external debt makes a difference for public debt stabilization, where external debt is considered through the non-residents' holdings according to a Balance of Payments perspective. The analysis is empirical and considers the case of Italy, one of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418130
(Länder) to a bail-out, the interest payments-to-revenue ratio. While risk premia measured in the German sub-national bond …-to-revenue ratio counter-intuitively lowers risk premia significantly. Furthermore, with increasing values the risk premia decrease …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991148
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991181
Shadow economy is harmful to the economy for various reasons. On the other hand shadow economy restriction has some repercussions. In other words, there is perhaps a sort of trade-off between the restriction of shadow economy and the resulting macroeconomic repercussions. Hence, in the present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931119
I show that corporate debt accumulation during booms can explain increases in sovereign risk during stress periods … can default. Rising corporate debt increases sovereign default risk, as tax revenues are expected to decrease …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249514
is used to derive expected payments, dependent on idiosyncratic risk and unrelated to interest rates. The expectations … are used to define a measure of price sensitivity to credit risk perceptions, or credit duration, improving the ambiguity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307696
A growing number of recent works support the idea of debt threshold level (turning point), above which debt starts reducing economic growth. However, estimated threshold varies sharply across studies and gives a little insight into what the optimal level of debt is. The point is that there is no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011956426