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losses, which is consistent with the unwinding of the carry trade in times of high volatility. The decomposition of market … variance into average variance and average correlation shows that the predictive power of market variance is primarily due to … average variance since average correlation is not significantly related to carry trade returns. Finally, a new version of the …
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-commodity price covariance, procyclical interest rates, negative price of exchange rate volatility, and countercyclical currency risk …
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