In Europe differences among countries in the overall change in happiness since the early 1980s have been due chiefly to the generosity of welfare state programs - increasing happiness going with increasing generosity and declining happiness with declining generosity. This is the principal...

The impact of news from the Moscow and New York stock exchanges on the daily returns and volatilities of Baltic stock market indices is studied. A nonlinear time series model that accounts for asymmetries in conditional mean and variance functions is used for the empirical work. News from New...

It is known that the analysis of short panel time series data is very important in many practical problems. This paper calculates the exact moments up to order 4 under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation when there are many independent replications of size 3. We further calculate the...

This paper discusses the purposes and limits of " structural " VAR modeling. It explains the choices that modelers have to make at different stages of the procedure. An illustration is provided by an analysis of monetary policy shocks in France over the 1972 : 1-1995 : 2. Compared with previous...

Estimation in nonlinear time series models has mainly been performed by least squares or maximum likelihood (ML) methods. The paper suggests and studies the performance of generalized method of moments (GMM) and indirect estimators for the autoregressive asymmetric moving average model. Both...

The impact of news of the Moscow and New York stock market exchanges on the <p> returns and volatilities of the Baltic state stock market indices is studied using daily <p> return data for the period of 2000-2005. A nonlinear time series model that accounts <p> for asymmetries in the conditional mean and...</p></p></p>

This paper provides a review of some results on the stability of random dynamical systems and indicates a number of applications to stochastic growth models, linear and non-linear time series models, statistical estimation of invariant distributions, and random iterations of quadratic maps....