Showing 1 - 10 of 6,632
We use three different indicators based on inflation expectations to measure central bank credibility in 9 countries in … Central and Eastern Europe. We quantify credibility using differences between official inflation targets and inflation … expectations as well as differences between inflation expectations and implicit targets based on estimation of the Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391669
data. Thus, accounting for imperfect credibility is important to model the formation of expectations in the economy and to … bank credibility. Forward guidance and the credibility of the central bank are uniquely modeled by utilizing a game …-theoretic evolutionary framework. We estimate credibility for the U.S. Federal Reserve with Bayesian methods exploiting survey data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844416
negative effect of credibility on the volatility of the short-term interest rate. Thus, in line with the expectations channel …This article investigates the relationship between central bank credibility and the volatility of the key monetary … policy instrument. Two main contributions are proposed. First, we propose a time-varying measure of central bank credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003866
Central bank credibility is critical for the effectiveness of monetary policy. The measures of credibility that are … alternative measure that allows us to track the evolution of credibility in an inflationary environment. Credibility is defined as … the central bank’s ability to lower inflation expectations towards its inflation target via current interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292071
inflation expectations increased leading to fears of their un-anchoring. Using the first principal component of commodity prices … expectations reacted more strongly to global aggregate demand conditions embedded in oil prices. Within this framework we cannot … reject the hypothesis that expectations remained anchored …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916305
data. Thus, accounting for imperfect credibility is important to model the formation of expectations in the economy and to … bank credibility. Forward guidance and the credibility of the central bank are uniquely modeled by utilizing a game …-theoretic evolutionary framework. We estimate credibility for the U.S. Federal Reserve with Bayesian methods exploiting survey data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846480
credibility based on the gap between inflation expectations and the official inflation target. While this new index addresses the … a negative effect of credibility on the volatility of the short term interest rate. Thus, in line with the expectations …This article investigates the relationship between central bank credibility and the volatility of the key monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028613
This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … across monetary policy regimes. I find that imperfect credibility is pronounced during the Volcker Disinflation and to a …-term inflation expectations of professionals with the perceived inflation target. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472154
different degrees of central bank credibility in the four largest Latin American economies, which experienced a different …-looking and exclusively reacts to expected inflation under nearly perfect central bank credibility. Under a partially credible … bank credibility tends to improve over time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012234482
Relying on Clive Granger's many and varied contributions to econometric analysis, this paper considers some of the key econometric considerations involved in estimating Taylor type rules for US data. We focus on the roles of unit roots, cointegration, structural breaks, and non-linearities to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068494