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and stochastic volatility, and estimate it with quarterly data for Mexico since 1981. We propose an endogenous regime … shocks, matching the typical stylized facts of emerging market business cycles and Mexico's history of sudden stops in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015190160
Exchange rate movements during the global financial crisis of 2007–09 were unusual. Unlike in two previous episodes – the Asian crisis of 1997–98 and the crisis following the Russian debt default in 1998 – in 2008 many countries that were not at the centre of the crisis saw their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095073
model. Third, we estimate the model with Bayesian methods to fit Mexico’s business cycle and financial crisis history since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309200
Two often - divergent U.S. GDP estimates are available, a widely-used expenditure-side version GDPE, and a much less widely-used income-side version GDI . The authors propose and explore a "forecast combination" approach to combining them. They then put the theory to work, producing a superior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177383
Two often-divergent U.S. GDP estimates are available, a widely-used expenditure side version, GDPE, and a much less widely-used income-side version, GDPI . We propose and explore a "forecast combination" approach to combining them. We then put the theory to work, producing a superior combined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177832
This paper focuses on the application of multi-dimensional Cartesian spaces in the graphical visualization of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) historical trend of any country. The main objective to use multi-dimensional Cartesian spaces is to observe all possible changes of all variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198382
-model approaches (electric consumption and currency ratio models) for estimating the size and growth of the unrecorded sector. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217175
This paper focuses on the application of multi-dimensional Cartesian spaces in the graphical visualization of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) historical trend of any country. The main objective to use multi-dimensional Cartesian spaces is to observe all possible changes of all variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223614
It is well known that, in continuous time, the Cobb-Douglas function can be derived from the underlying, data governing, accounting identity under some reasonable assumptions (factor shares are constant, and the weighted growth of the labour input price and the capital input price is constant)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080585
This paper presents a novel framework to estimate the elasticity between nighttime lights and quarterly economic activity. The relationship is identified by accounting for varying degrees of measurement errors in nighttime light data across countries. The estimated elasticity is 1.55 for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082217