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", stock-market fluctuations should Granger cause fluctuations of the unemployment rate. We performed several Granger … (2015) for U.S. data, we found that the stock market Granger causes unemployment in the short run and the long run when we … control for a deterministic trend in the unemployment rate. Results of a frequency-domain test show that, in the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415821
producing employment growth and in reducing unemployment than most continental-European OECD-countries. It is argued that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398923
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001399049
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Long-term bond yields contain a risk-premium, an important part of which is compensation for inflation risks. The substantial increase in the Fed funds rate in the mid-2000s did not raise long-term US Treasury yields due to the reduction in the term premium (so-called Greenspan conundrum) which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584286
In this paper we adopt the Hungarian version of the EAGLE (Euro Area GLobal Economy) model. The version of the EAGLE model used in this paper allows for the high import content of export - a typical feature of small open economies such as Hungary. We study the effects of four globally important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674240
I investigate the welfare maximizing steady-state inflation rate in a heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian model with Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity (DNWR). After matching the annual wage change distribution in the U.S., I show that DNWR has a very significant impact on the economy when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257264
In employment relationships, a wage is an installment payment on an implicit long-term agreement between a worker and a firm. The price of labor that impacts firm's hiring decisions, instead, reflects the hiring wage as well as the impact of economic conditions at the time of hiring on future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014507553
In this paper, we propose a new method to forecast macroeconomic variables that combines two existing approaches to mixed-frequency data in DSGE models. The first existing approach estimates the DSGE model in a quarterly frequency and uses higher frequency auxiliary data only for forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013471326
The frequency with which firms adjust output prices is an important determinant of persistent differences in capital structure across firms. The most flexible-price firms have a 19% higher long-term financial leverage ratio than the most sticky-price firms, controlling for known determinants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970598