In a simple macro-finance term structure (MFTS) model with macroeconomic variables as risk factors, it matters little whether an econometrician has a strong prior on a particular macroeconomic model. I show in a Monte Carlo experiment that econometricians with drastically different priors will...

The Mutual Market Access scheme in 2014 triggered an influx of capital from mainland China to Hong Kong. We argue that it is exogenous demand shock for the Hong Kong stocks market and thus provides a unique opportunity to test whether the demand curves for stocks are downward sloping. We find a...

We construct a cross-section of stock prices and their corresponding present values of future cash flows. A regression of present value on the initial stock price should have a slope coefficient equal to 1.0. For short horizons, this is a cross-section version of checking the random walk model...