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This online appendix to "Violations of Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and International Exchange Rate Dependences" includes the copula density function for the Clayton-Frank-Gumbel mixture copula and the details for the likelihood based estimation of the multivariate currency basket log returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004092
This study employs a conditional factor model in order to investigate the time-varying profitability of currency carry trades. To that end, I estimate conditional alphas and betas on the popular dollar and carry factors through the use of a nonparametric approach. The empirical results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898838
We study variations in the risk-neutral distributions of the exchange rates in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru due to interventions implemented by these countries. For this purpose, we first estimate the risk-neutral densities of the exchange rates based on derivatives market data, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370897
Using a vector error correction model I test whether shocks in the funding liquidity conditions in the U.S. and Europe separately explain deviations from the covered interest parity (CIP) between the U.S. Dollar and the Mexican Peso. I find that: (1) Apparent deviations from the CIP seem to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370903
In light of the recent discussion regarding the measurement of uncertainty and its impact on economic activity, this paper derives forward-looking measures of uncertainty and directional expectations for the CHF/EUR exchange rate based on over-the-counter option data and analyses its impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946988
The uncovered interest rate parity puzzle questions the economic relation existing between short term interest rate differentials and exchange rates. One would indeed expect that the differential of interest rates between two countries should be offset by an opposite evolution of the exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018402
We study the link between the volatility of exchange rates and interest rate differentials (IRD), motivated by the importance of currency carry trade activities in exchange rate dynamics. We examine this link by means of an extended stochastic volatility model, for which we detail an efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311091
In the paper, we show how the estimates of the daily volatility of major exchange rates, EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, and NZD/USD, depend on the hour at which the daily returns are calculated. FOREX market is open 24 hours a day, but traders from different parts of the world, if some local time is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828323
We analyze total, asymmetric and frequency connectedness between oil and forex markets using high-frequency, intra-day data over the period 2007 - 2017. By employing variance decompositions and their spectral representation in combination with realized semivariances to account for asymmetric and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035050
We examine the relationship between gold prices and the U.S. dollar exchange rate, arguing that their interactions are state-dependent and asymmetric under different market conditions. State dependency hinges on different short-term interest rate zones. To prove this point, we determine three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015073524