Showing 1 - 10 of 1,294
This paper proposes a simple and crude way of approximating the XVA sensitivities. In short, the idea is simply to recycle the existing base simulated portfolio values for the bumped ones. This is done by re-simulating the risk factors for the bumped market and finding out which other base state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895059
Hedge funds offer desirable risk-return profiles; but we also find high management fees, lack of transparency and worse, very limited liquidity (they are often closed to new investors and disinvestment fees can be prohibitive). This creates an incentive to replicate the attractive features of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979515
The well-known SETAR model introduced by Tong belongs to the wide class of TAR models that may be specified in several different ways. Here we propose to consider the delay parameter as endogenous, that is we make it to depend on both the past value and the specific past regime of the series. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111893
Estimation and modelling problems as they arise in many fields often turn out to be intractable by standard numerical methods. One way to deal with such a situation consists in simplifying models and procedures. However, the solutions to these simplified problems might not be satisfying. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005163000
We study an optimization-based approach to construct a mean-reverting portfolio of assets. Our objectives are threefold: (1) design a portfolio that is well-represented by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with parameters estimated by maximum likelihood, (2) select portfolios with desirable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899764
We estimate a small-scale macroeconomic model for Japan by taking into account the nonlinearity stemming from the zero lower bound (ZLB) of the nominal interest rate. To this end, we apply the Sequential Monte Carlo Squared method to the case of Japan, where the ZLB has constrained the country's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924907
In this paper, I show how gradient-based optimization methods can be used to estimate stochastic dynamic models in economics. By extending the state space to include all model parameters, I show that we need to solve the model only once to do structural estimation. Parameters are then estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247175
A long criticism on the usefulness of the traditional CAPM model has been raised in the vast literature of arbitrage pricing models that propose several risk factors on firm fundamentals or investigate the stochastic properties of stock returns' distributions, (Fama and French (2004)). However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034028
The evaluation of quantiles (or VaR, Value at Risk) and that of CVaR, Conditional Value at Risk in risk management (or mean excess in actuarial sciences) is a very crucial point in the decision processes. Indeed, there are often great difficulties (or impossibilities) in finding the kind of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124386
Should long-term investors account for time-variation in model parameters? We develop a time-varying Vector Autoregressive model that can handle time-variation in intercepts, slopes, volatility and correlation, the leverage effect in volatility and fat tails. Long-term investors should take...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049185