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Initial Gross Domestic Product (GDP) announcements are important economic signals that convey information on the state of the economy but contain substantial estimation error. We investigate how GDP estimation errors affect firms' real decisions and profitability. Consistent with theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852580
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Immigration policy can have important net fiscal effects that vary by immigrants' skill level. But mainstream methods to estimate these effects are problematic. Methods based on cashflow accounting offer precision at the cost of bias; methods based on general equilibrium modeling address bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013412707
I establish that inflation risk is priced in the cross section of stock returns: Stocks that have low returns during inflationary times command a risk premium. I estimate a market price of inflation risk that is comparable in magnitude to the price of risk for the aggregate market. Inflation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752802
The research examines the influence of the domestic interest rate and spillover effect of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rates on Türkiye's stock market from January 1999 to January 2019. The research applied the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) co-integration method to analyze...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480826
We by this paper try to do a comparative review of the various approaches in deducing a measure for time-varying z-score. We however employ several modules as part of our assessment in computing the elements of our z-score, we also look at the optimal time length and data frequency through which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911646
The issue regarding cross-border business has been a key issue on the minds of businesses across the globe. As organizations as well as firms seek to maximize their profit through operating in different jurisdictions, it is quite imperative to take a critical look at the issue regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916752
The issue of EDC became increasingly important in the field of development economics primarily because EDC has been occurring more frequent after the deregulation of global financial flows in the 1970s (Tiruneh 2004, Jones 2015) hitting mostly MICs and LICs. Assessing the probability of an EDC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946953
This paper studies the question of the economic scale of financial institutions. We show that banks actively smooth book equity by adjusting payouts to achieve a desired trajectory of book equity. The countercyclical nature of net payouts of financial institutions leads to procyclical book...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342855
The class of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) models has proved particularly valuable in modelling time series with time varying volatility. These include financial data, which can be particularly heavy tailed.This paper investigates the time-series behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058280