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Theory suggests a significant positive relationship in long-run equilibrium between net foreign assets (NFA) as a proportion of GDP and real exchange rates. Empirical tests have ignored two issues: the large variation in cross-country trade/GDP ratios, which is likely to induce substantial...
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regime driven by the exchange rate and a third one with inflation targeting. The result is a CVAR with constant long … framework, inflation dynamics in Mexico since the country abandoned the gold standard. The model encompasses known results … parsimonious, it does not require inflation lags nor dummy variables. It also displays a very good pseudo out-of-sample forecasting …
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