This article describes the construction of an open-source growth-at-risk (GaR) model. The model provides a flexible analytical tool for policymakers and researchers aiming to use the GaR approach to characterize the probability density of GDP growth conditional on domestic and international...

This paper analyses the growth effects of capital formation, exports and FDI as major drivers of economic development in Eastern Europe. The fundamental innovations are identified by empirically and theoretically motivated short- and long-run restrictions in structural cointegrated vector...

This paper reassesses the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth. Using recently developed panel methods on a data set of 71 developed and developing countries over the period 1960-2004, our study confirms previous results of a bi-directional causality between...

Observing that the literature has focused only on the linkage between economic growth and public expenditure on health, the present study aims at deriving conditions under which the change in the composition of public expenditure on health could lead to higher steady-state growth rate in the...

While trade integration is often regarded as a principal determinant of economic growth, the empirical evidence for a causal linkage between trade and growth is ambiguous. This paper argues that the effect of trade in dynamic panel estimations depends crucially on the specification of trade....

We discuss the sustainability of Chinese high growth relative to growth experience elsewhere, and specifically Soviet Russia in the 1950s to the 1960s by asking if the aggregate technology can eventually similarly constrain high growth performance in the Chinese case as argued by Weitzman in a...

The supply-leading or demand-following hypotheses are examined in this study in case of Pakistan. There are two prime objectives of this study first to check the existence of co-integration between financial development and economic growth and second the direction of causality between the two....

The paper analyzes unequal regional development in Kazakhstan. Applying the nonlinear least squares method in presence of spatial correlation we estimate the convergence rate of wages across Kazakh regions for the period 2003–2009. The estimated convergence rate is about 3% which is somewhat...

The paper analyzes the influence of credit market liberalization on economic growth in more than 100 economies over a period of 30 years. Liberalizing early and consistently is associated with higher living standards. However, although the timing of the reform seems to matter in raising living...

Does GDP composition affect GDP growth and volatility? Typically, economies at advanced stages of development grow slower, are less volatile and have a larger share of services in GDP with respect to economies at middle stages. I propose a theory of development consistent with these three facts....