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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191413
(GARCH), asymmetric power ARCH (APARCH), exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedstic (EGARCH …-of-sample volatility forecasting, AR(2)–GARCH(1, 1) is considered the best. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011747702
-correction method can improve the n-GARCH and n-EGARCH VaR forecasts so much that the acquired VaR predictions are different from the … distribution instead of GARCH improves the performance of the bias-correction method in forecasting the VaR for almost all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632622
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer from many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674479
positive signal for future system stability, it also evidences that the widely used GARCH and DCC specifications turn to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874650
estimator. The OLS regression with the HAC covariance matrix estimation and the GARCH-type models are employed toexplore the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419201
Volatility is one of the most important factors of investment decisions. Unexpected information forces the investor to trade abnormally in the market which in turn affects the volatility of the market. But this kind of trading behavior has a different impact on the different market segments....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214705
Linear GARCH(1,1) and threshold GARCH(1,1) processes are established as regularly varying, meaning their heavy tails … considered a stylized fact for many financial returns assumed to follow GARCH-type processes. The result in this note aids in … establishing the asymptotic properties of certain GARCH estimators proposed in the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803123
traditional GARCH-type models (GARCH and GJR-GARCH) the two-regime Markov Switching GARCHtype models (MS-GARCH and MS-GJR-GARCH … persistence of individual markets which substantially differed across the both regimes. Furthermore, the GJR-GARCH and MS-GJR-GARCH … models clearly confirmed the presence of the leverage effect. Consideration of the MS-GARCH-type models enabled to capture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013499116