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Sudden and uncertain events often cause cross-contagion of risk among various sectors of the macroeconomy. This paper … uncertainty risk on macroeconomics. Then, the high-dimensional DSGE model (DSGE-SV-t) is developed to examine the impact of … uncertainty risk on the transmission mechanism among macroeconomic sectors. The empirical research found that uncertainty risk …
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This paper extends the procedure developed by Jurado et al. (2015) to allow the estimation of measures of uncertainty that can be attributed to specific structural shocks. This enables researchers to investigate the "origin" of a change in overall macroeconomic uncertainty. To demonstrate the...
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Return jumps on equities exhibit slowly-decaying tail behavior admitting severe downside risk; moreover, heavy … risk. We find that, without jump ambiguity, a CRRA investor suffers negligible wealth losses from underestimating tail risk …
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Linear GARCH(1,1) and GJR GARCH(1,1) processes are established as regularly varying, meaning their heavy tails follow a Power Law, under conditions that allow the innovations from the, respective, processes to be either symmetrically distributed or skewed. Skewness is considered a stylized fact...
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