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To what extent are US and Euro Area (EA) inflation expectations determined by foreign shocks? How do transmissions change during the great recession and European sovereign debt crisis? We address these questions with a flexible structural VAR model of weekly financial markets’ inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458367
We quantify spillovers of inflation expectations between the United States (US) and Euro Area (EA) based on break-even inflation (BEI) rates. In contrast to previous studies, we model US and EA BEI rates jointly in a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model. The SVAR approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255370
This paper examines the interactions between money, interest rates, goods and commodity prices at a global level. For this purpose, we aggregate data for major OECD countries and follow the Johansen/Juselius cointegrated VAR approach. Our empirical model supports the view that, when controlling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931399
This paper examines the interactions between money, interest rates, goods and commodity prices at a global level. For this purpose, we aggregate data for major OECD countries and follow the Johansen/Juselius cointegrated VAR approach. Our empirical model supports the view that, when controlling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003934679
This paper examines the interactions between money, interest rates, goods and commodity prices at a global level. For this purpose, we aggregate data for major OECD countries and follow the Johansen/Juselius cointegrated VAR approach. Our empirical model supports the view that, when controlling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208787
Global monetary dynamics has been particularly strong in recent years. At the same time, house prices in many OECD countries increased sharply, significantly outpacing the relatively subdued development in consumer prices. In this paper we argue that different price elasticities on asset and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206379
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper presents evidence that the expansion of global value chains (GVCs), ie cross-border trade in intermediate goods and services, is an important channel through which global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619539
Exploiting the heteroscedasticity of the changes in short-term and long-term interest rates and exchange rates around the FOMC announcement, we identify three structural monetary policy shocks. We eliminate the predictable part of the shocks and study their effects on financial variables and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560738
This study investigates the international spillover effects of US unconventional monetary policy (UMP) - frequently … purchases of private sector securities that lower the US mortgage spread exert stronger and more significant spillover effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798677
-border financial spillover channels have not become a standard element of structural monetary models. Against this background, we … hypothesise that New Keynesian DSGE models that do not feature powerful financial spillover channels confound the effects of … models that do not account for powerful financial spillover channels are contaminated by a common global component; the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664579