We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...

This paper experimentally studies the role of associative memory for belief formation. Realworld information signals are often embedded in memorable contexts. Thus, today’s news, and the contexts they are embedded in, may cue the selective retrieval of similar past news and hence contribute to...

Financial-macroeconomic agent-based models offer a promising avenue for understanding complex economic interactions, but their use is hindered by challenging empirical estimation. Our paper addresses this gap by constructing a stylized integrated model and estimating its core parameters using US...

We develop a model in which investors can participate in stock, bond and housing markets. Investors' market entry decisions are subject to herding effects and depend on the markets' price trends and on their mispricings. The dynamics of our model is governed by a four-dimensional nonlinear map...

Mit einem aktiven Portfoliomanagement verfolgen Investoren das Ziel, überdurchschnittliche Portfoliorenditen zu erzielen. Dieses Ziel wird dann erreicht, wenn Börsenkurse von ihren gerechtfertigten Werten abweichen. -- In dem vorliegenden Buch wird ein Ansatz für Aktien vorgestellt, mit dem...