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Modeling the term structure of interest rate is very important to macroeconomists and financial market practitioners in general. In this paper, we used the Diebold-Li interpretation to the Nelson Siegel model in order to fit and forecast the Brazilian yield curve. The data consisted of daily...
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We test forecast rationality for Brazilian inflation using Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) for each month. We … hypothesis with traditional time series approach for the consensus inflation but we do not reject the null hypothesis using … fluctuation rationality test of Rossi and Sekhposyan (2016). We obtain that there is bias in inflation forecasts in the easing and …
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This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices …
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