Showing 1 - 10 of 35,078
processing rate. Although a decline of policy activism directly increases output volatility, it indirectly anchors expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223070
We develop and estimate a general equilibrium model to quantitatively assess the effects and welfare implications of central bank transparency. Monetary policy can deviate from active inflation stabilization and agents conduct Bayesian learning about the nature of these deviations. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011560575
This paper reviews the recent literature on monetary policy rules. To organize the discussion, we exposit the monetary policy design problem within a simple baseline theoretical framework. We then consider the implications of adding various real word complications. We concentrate on developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197574
This paper investigates how inflation expectations evolve. In particular, we analyze the time-varying nature of the … propensity to update expectations and its potential determinants. For this purpose we set up a flexible econometric model that … tracks the formation of inflation expectations of consumers at each moment in time. We show that the propensity to update …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108387
-adjusted, uncovered interest parity model with unrestricted parameters, emphasizing the importance of modeling market expectations of … monetary policy. I use consensus forecasts as a proxy for market expectations. The analysis on the Deutsche mark, Canadian … expectations of future monetary policy, Taylor rule fundamentals are able to forecast changes in the exchange rate, even over short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009244259
This paper investigates how inflation expectations evolve. In particular, we analyze the time-varying nature of the … propensity to update expectations and its potential determinants. For this purpose we set up a flexible econometric model that … tracks the formation of inflation expectations of consumers at each moment in time. We show that the propensity to update …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009541260
decisions with regard to inflation expectations of financial market experts for the euro area from February 1999 to June 2007 …. Estimations are conducted for the influence of ECB communication on expectations formation besides other macroeconomic variables … of inflation expectations formation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726274
This paper investigates how inflation expectations evolve. In particular, we analyze the time-varying nature of the … propensity to update expectations and its potential determinants. For this purpose we set up a flexible econometric model that … tracks the formation of inflation expectations of consumers at each moment in time. We show that the propensity to update …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009534067
The VIX barely drops at macro-announcements. This is at odds with virtually all models that attempt to explain the "macro-announcement premium." We point out that the macro-announcement sample is too small, considering the high volatility and fat tail of daily returns. Our small-sample argument...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825382
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127983