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We propose a novel identification strategy to measure monetary policy in a structural VAR. It is based exclusively on known past policy shocks, which are uncovered from high-frequency data, and does not rely on any theoretical a-priori restrictions. Our empirical analysis for the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288003
In recent times, a large number of studies has investigated the empirical properties of financial cycles within countries, mainly based on band-pass filter techniques. The contribution of this paper to the literature is twofold. First, in contrast to most existing studies in the financial cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710009
This study extends the Diebold-Yilmaz Connectedness Index (DYCI) methodology and, based on forecast error covariance decompositions, derives a network risk model for a portfolio of assets. As a normalized measure of the sum of variance contributions, system-wide connectedness averages out the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170580
We apply the Diebold and Yilmaz (2014) methodology to daily stock prices of the largest 40 U.S. financial institutions to construct a volatility connectedness index. We then estimate the contemporaneous return sensitivity of every non-financial U.S. company to this index. We find that there is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778209
As stock market indexes are not tradeable, the importance and trading volume of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) cannot be understated. ETFs track and attempt to replicate the performance of a specific index. Numerous studies have demonstrated a strong relationship between the S&P500 Composite Index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441620
The withdrawal of public sector intervention from Malta's housing market commenced in the early 1990s, while financial markets were liberalised in 1994. These developments were likely behind the significant expansion in credit and house price appreciation experienced over the past two decades,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015450380
In this paper, we identify exogenous shocks to credit demand, financial inter-mediation, and supply of funds, and determine the contribution of these shocks to fluctuations in the credit market and overall economic activity. We estimate a structural vector auto-regression model where the three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831465
We study the impact of credit risk determinants on the Romanian and Bulgarian banking systems using a structural Markov Regime-Switching vector autoregressive (MRS-SVAR) analysis. To capture changes in the domestic macroeconomic conditions as well as the spillover effects from the Greek crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898783
We set up an agent-based model that generates realistic credit cycles. Using artificial data sets, we show that fluctuations in the implicit measures of the natural rate of interest (obtained using a conventional model) may occur in the vicinity of credit cycle peaks without any underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908138
This paper explores the modelling of time-varying dynamics of the elasticity of substitution between money and liquid assets considered near-money. The liquidity premium between near-money assets over other safe but illiquid assets can vary with time, depending on economic conditions. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867266