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noise is considered. A general stochastic volatility framework with jumps for the underlying asset dynamics is defined … parameter and average jumps size reveals that the characteristics of the dataset are crucial to determine which is the proper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506497
In credit default prediction models, the need to deal with time-varying covariates often arises. For instance, in the context of corporate default prediction a typical approach is to estimate a hazard model by regressing the hazard rate on time-varying covariates like balance sheet or stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008939079
In this paper, we assess the Value at Risk (VaR) prediction accuracy and efficiency of six ARCH-type models, six realized volatility models and two GARCH models augmented with realized volatility regressors. The α-th quantile of the innovation's distribution is estimated with the fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126884
realized bipower variation, which are immune against microstructure noise bias and price jumps respectively, generate superior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113342
to overestimate the number of jumps in yield spreads and puts the coherence of test results at risk. We formalize the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097
We derive a nonparametric test for constant (continuous) beta over a fixed interval of time. Continuous beta is defined as the ratio of the continuous covariation between an asset and observable risk factor (e.g., the market return) and the continuous variation of the latter. Our test is based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253467
We test whether a simple measure of corporate insolvency based on equity return volatility - and denoted as Distance to Insolvency (DI) - delivers better predictions of corporate default than the widely-used Expected Default Frequency (EDF) measure computed by Moody's. We look at the predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448706
jumps over a grid of thresholds and selects the optimal threshold at what we term the “take-off” point in the estimated … number of jumps. We show that this method consistently estimates the jumps and their indices as the sampling interval goes to … jumps and its ability to distinguish between true jumps and large diffusive moves. In one of these Monte Carlo studies we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524214
of factor jumps. Such jump dependence is implied by standard linear factor models. Our inference is based on a panel of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042424
jumps over a grid of thresholds and selects the optimal threshold at what we term the ‘take-off’ point in the estimated … number of jumps. We show that this method consistently estimates the jumps and their indices as the sampling interval goes to … jumps and its ability to distinguish between true jumps and large diffusive moves. In one of these Monte Carlo studies we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823308