Showing 1 - 10 of 7,208
direction. We estimated the standard import equation for 38 advanced and developing countries over the period 1995-2015, using … an import intensity-adjusted measure of aggregate demand (IAD), calculated from input-output tables at country level, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011635156
direction. We estimated the standard import equation for 38 advanced and developing countries over the period 1995-2015, using … an import intensity-adjusted measure of aggregate demand (IAD), calculated from input-output tables at country level, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900772
directional forecasts can provide a useful framework to assess the economic forecast value when loss functions (or success … directional forecast value is a readily available alternative to the commonly used squared error loss criterion. -- Directional … forecasts ; directional forecast value ; forecast evaluation ; economic forecast value ; mean squared forecast error ; mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003893151
I analyze the joint efficiency of export and import forecasts by leading economic research institutes for the years … order to model links between forecast errors and a forecaster's information set, consisting of several trade and other … to check whether the Mahalanobis distance between the predicted forecast errors for the trade forecasts and actual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159772
This paper investigates the predictive properties of import and export prices of commodities on the exchange rates. A … period from 1993 to 2016 is considered. We find that forecasts of the exchange rate adding commodity export and import prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822076
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012041777
direction. We estimated the standard import equation for 38 advanced and developing countries over the period 1995-2015, using … an import intensity-adjusted measure of aggregate demand (IAD), calculated from input-output tables at country level, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908674
Gravity as both fact and theory is one of the great success stories of recent research on international trade, and has featured prominently in the policy debate over Brexit. We first review the facts, noting the overwhelming evidence that trade tends to fall with distance. We then introduce some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839359
This paper assesses the quantitative importance of including sectoral heterogeneity in computing the gains from trade. Our framework draws from Caliendo and Parro (2015) and Alvarez and Lucas (2007) and has sectoral heterogeneity along five dimensions, including the elasticity of trade to trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852066
Gravity as both fact and theory is one of the great success stories of recent research on international trade, and has featured prominently in the policy debate over Brexit. We first review the facts, noting the overwhelming evidence that trade tends to fall with distance. We then introduce some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177012