Showing 1 - 10 of 21,542
This paper empirically compares sticky-price and sticky-information Phillips curves considering inflation dynamics in … moments of inflation. Under baseline calibrations, the two models perform similarly in almost all countries. Under estimated … unconditional moments of inflation dynamics better while sticky information is more successful in matching co-movement of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124276
We show that the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) outperforms standard benchmarks in forecasting U.S. inflation once … frequency-domain information is taken into account. We do so by decomposing the time series (of inflation and its predictors …) into several frequency bands and forecasting separately each frequency component of inflation. The largest statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208126
Managing inflation is vital for a stable economy, but forecasting remains challenging. ML methods, like neural networks …, have shown promise in forecasting inflation and other macroeconomic variables. In this paper, I propose DPCNet, a deep … multi-task learning model, to jointly forecast inflation and unemployment. DPCNet incorporates economic structure and memory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354498
.S. inflation. We examine the overall performance of Phillips curves relative to some well-known benchmarks, the efficiency with … which the Federal Reserve's Greenbook forecasts of inflation use real activity information, and shifts in the key … determinants of the reduced-form 'triangle model' of inflation. We develop a structural model-based interpretation of observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158194
most countries, and once we control for a lagged inflation term, we find that the majority of the price setters are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065087
We show that the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) outperforms standard bench marks in forecasting U.S. inflation … once frequency-domain information is taken into account. We do so by decomposing the time series (of inflation and its … predictors) into several frequency bands and forecasting separately each frequency component of inflation. The largest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834859
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014042997
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092691
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output … growth, giving support to Phillips' Golden Triangle theory. -- Employment Growth ; Inflation ; Output Growth ; Golden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487899
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009162091