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Deficits discussion of the 1980s. In contrast, during the 1990s productivity growth has been identified as the primary cause of … importance of budget deficits and productivity shocks for the determination of the current account. Using a sample of 21 OECD … current account, while country-specific productivity shocks appear to play a key role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318453
This paper studies the impact of the state-dependent risk of a government default on the correlation of the scal balance and current account. We use a small open economy model where nonlinear risk premia arise endogenously when the government operates close to its scal limit, i.e. the maximum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341080
Background An econometric analysis of the twin deficit hypothesis is of special importance for the Republic of North Macedonia in view of its perspective membership in the European Union and from the point of view of its macroeconomic stability in the long run. Objectives The objective of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012414405
For a small open economy with fixed exchange rate regime, the twin deficit hypothesis is always an interesting and relevant research topic. The aim of this research is to evaluate the effects of the government budget shocks on the current account movement in the case of the Macedonian economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623579
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369322
-specific productivity shocks generate business cycles that are highly correlated internationally. The model assumes recursive intertemporal … trade response to country-specific shocks. Hence, a productivity (and GDP) increase in a given country triggers a strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960598
-specific productivity shocks generate business cycles that are highly correlated internationally. The model assumes recursive intertemporal … trade response to country-specific shocks. Hence, a productivity (and GDP) increase in a given country triggers a strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121891
This study assesses the response of the trade balance to exchange rate fluctuations across a large number of countries. Fixed-effects regressions are estimated for 87 countries on annual data from 1994 to 2010. The trade balance improves significantly after a real depreciation, and to a similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739791
We use panel probit models with unobserved heterogeneity, state-dependence and serially correlated errors in order to analyze the determinants and the dynamics of current-account reversals for a panel of developing and emerging countries. The likelihood-based inference of these models requires...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003870630
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983873