Showing 1 - 10 of 2,953
should intervene in the business cycle. Following Ramey (2011b), we include expectations held by consumers and firms into the … findings also underscore the need to account for expectations, as failing to do so leads to significant misinterpretation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011525541
long-run price stability depends critically on expectations about labor market tightness. Using a variety of cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
return beliefs mirrors the importance of exerting self-control, such that return expectations first increase as the exam … find this prediction confirmed: average subjective expectations of returns increase by about 20% over the period before the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993339
This paper examines German business survey data to uncover the influence of political news on expectations concerning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621979
. Amongst employees, optimists earn more. These results are consistent with biased expectations leading to entry errors. As a … test of validity, we find that amongst the married, future divorcees have higher financial expectations but their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308476
Wage expectations for full- and part-time employment are key for understanding the labor supply decisions of women …-adjusted estimates of the part-time wage gap indicates that women's mean expectations are realistic. I also show that women with children …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012285506
I quantify the perceived changes in hourly wage rates associated with working different hours on the same job for a representative sample of female workers. While part-time working women expect significant hourly wage gains from switching to full-time work - 7% on average - full-time workers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013461177
The empirical methodology of the paper establishes if a speculative attack, which is accounted for via sunspots in the presence of multiple equilibria, could have been in fact driven uniquely by economic fundamentals. The methodology is based on the theoretical models of Bertola and Svensson...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065836
In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year 12 of a projected 25), it is vital to understand that production cost is a fundamental. Moreover, marginal production costs are among the most powerful drivers of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120803
expectations and accelerate consumption expenditure. It is budget neutral and time consistent. We exploit a unique natural … 2007. The shock increased households' inflation expectations during 2006 and actual inflation in 2007. Germans' willingness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540320