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Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
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Against the difficult background of analysing aggregated data in this paper core inflation in the euro area is … misleading indicator for monetary policy in the euro area. We furthermore compare our core inflation measure to the wide … coincident indicator of HICP inflation. Assessing the robustness of our core inflation measure we carefully conclude that it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767687
that the oil price passes through core inflation only via its effect on the whole economy. This pass-through is estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710173
. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
In the paper we have investigated to what extent the behaviour of CPI inflation depends on changes in domestic economic … price indices respond to exchange rate movements and/or foreign inflation. The impact of exchange rate is most substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079240
The term structure of inflation forecasts disagreement in the US can be summarized by two components: disagreement … about the trend inflation, and disagreement about the cyclical inflation. While the former has identical impacts on … forecasting horizons. Only the cyclical inflation disagreement has a significant impact on monetary policy efficacy. High …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349318
This paper studies monetary policy rules in a small open economy with Inflation Targeting, incomplete pass-through and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523924