Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 2,806
Cover Image
Heterogeneous expectations, indeterminacy, and postwar US business cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco; Milani, Fabio - 2020
postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot … windows and allowing the parameters to fall both in the determinacy and indeterminacy regions. The estimates reveal large … the sample. The results confirm that macroeconomic data in the early windows are better explained by indeterminacy, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200338
Cover Image
Heterogeneous expectations, indeterminacy, and postwar US business cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco; Milani, Fabio - In: Journal of macroeconomics 68 (2021), pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012630988
Cover Image
Heterogeneous Expectations, Indeterminacy, and Postwar US Business Cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco - 2020
postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot … windows and allowing the parameters to fall both in the determinacy and indeterminacy regions. The estimates reveal large … the sample. The results confirm that macroeconomic data in the early windows are better explained by indeterminacy, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836715
Cover Image
Time-varying dynamics of the German business cycle : a comprehensive investigation
Reif, Magnus - 2021
This paper provides insights into the time-varying dynamics of the German business cycle over the last five decades. To do so, I employ an open-economy time-varying parameter VAR with stochastic volatility, which I estimate by quasi-Bayesian techniques. The reduced-form analysis reveals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607593
Cover Image
Perceived uncertainty shocks, excess optimism-pessimism, and learning in the business cycle
Chatterjee, Pratiti; Milani, Fabio - 2020
What are the effects of beliefs, sentiment, and uncertainty, over the business cycle? To answer this question, we develop a behavioral New Keynesian macroeconomic model, in which we relax the assumption of rational expectations. Agents are, instead, boundedly rational: they have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294890
Cover Image
Inference based on time-varying SVARs identified with sign restrictions
Arias, Jonas E.; Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco; Shin, … - 2024
We propose an approach for Bayesian inference in time-varying structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) identified with sign restrictions. The linchpin of our approach is a class of rotation-invariant time-varying SVARs in which the prior and posterior densities of any sequence of structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505805
Cover Image
Time-varying parameters in monetary policy rules : a GMM approach
Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2023
This paper assesses time variation in monetary policy rules by applying a Time-Varying Parameter Generalised Methods of Moments (TVP-GMM) framework. Using monthly data until December 2022 for five inflation targeting countries (the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden) and five countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284714
Cover Image
DSGE Models and Central Banks
Tovar, Camilo Ernesto - 2008
Over the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298566
Cover Image
Political business cycles and monetary policy revisited : an application of a two-dimensional asymmetric Taylor reaction function
Klose, Jens - 2011
This paper uses two-dimensional asymmetric Taylor reaction functions for 16 OECD-countries to account for different reactions to the inflation rate and output by central banks before or after an election of the fiscal authorities in the respective country. Important for such an investigation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580239
Cover Image
Taking multi-sector dynamic general equilibrium models to the data
Dixon, Huw; Kara, Engin - 2012
We estimate and compare two models, the Generalized Taylor Economy (GTE) and the Multiple Calvo model (MC), that have been built to model the distributions of contract lengths observed in the data. We compare the performances of these models to those of the standard models such as the Calvo and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530141