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We develop an analytically tractable method to estimate the fraction of unreported infections in epidemics with a known epicenter and estimate the number of unreported COVID-19 infections in the US during the first half of March 2020. Our method utilizes the covariation in initial reported...
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We develop an analytically tractable method to estimate the fraction of unreported infections in epidemics with a known epicenter and estimate the number of unreported COVID-19 infections in the US during the first half of March 2020. Our method utilizes the covariation in initial reported...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837154
Mortality and economic contraction during the 1918-1920 Great Influenza Epidemic provide plausible upper bounds for … outcomes under the coronavirus (COVID-19). Data for 43 countries imply flu-related deaths in 1918-1920 of 39 million, 2 …
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reliable model structure for the COVID-19 epidemic growth curve. We will achieve this by exploring a variety of stochastic …
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