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controlling shareholders impairs analyst forecast quality. We sample Chinese A-share firms and find that the proportion of shares … associated with analysts’ earnings forecast error and dispersion. Analysts’ incentives moderate the association between pledge … ratios and forecast predictions. High performing analysts most sensitive to reputational concerns continue to report …
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-year forecast error. Our findings in the Saudi financial market reveal a tendency for overreaction to positive prior-year earnings … change (good performance) and positive prior-year forecast errors (good surprise). Conversely, there is an underreaction to … the negative prior-year earnings change (bad performance) and negative prior-year forecast error (bad surprise). Notably …
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The study reviews equity valuation, and proposes an alternative equity valuation model based on a random process modelling of earnings and equity growth. A Markov process is used to model earnings, standardized as earnings to book value, and book value based on rating category. This assumes a...
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