We examine whether option prices correct for predictable bias in stock prices associated with accounting anomalies. Evidence from put-call parity violations suggests that they do not. Rather, option prices accurately track contemporaneous stock prices. Further analysis suggests that high costs...

We provide the first large-scale study of the performance of expected-return proxies (ERPs) internationally. Analyst-forecast-based ICCs are sparsely populated and not robustly associated with future returns. Earnings-model-forecast-based ICCs are well-populated, but are unreliable outside the...

This paper uses analysts' forecasts to estimate a share's equity duration, a measure of a company's average cash-flow maturity. We find that short duration equity is associated with high expected and realized returns, which cannot be attributed to the shares' systematic risk exposure as implied...

I find both U.S. and international evidence that aggregate corporate cash savings strongly negatively predict future excess market returns. In the U.S. stock market, market timing based on aggregate cash savings yields annual returns 2.55% higher than an all-equity-all-the-time strategy. The...

We outline analytically that when testing different implied cost of capital (ICC) measures for validation by employing the Vuolteenaho (2002) framework, the cash-flow news in the validation framework should be defined in a way that considers the model specific assumed sequence of future cash...

This study examines the role of market efficiency on international differences in the usefulness of the implied cost of capital (ICC) to measure expected stock returns. The analysis exploits cross-country differences in market efficiency around the world using a variety of empirical measures of...

This paper investigates whether increases in future stock returns related to levels of total book assets (TBA) are due to risk or stock mispricing. Based on a large sample from 1989 to 2013, the findings at the portfolio-level reveal that average annual abnormal returns increase by 11.2 percent...

As the proxy for expected return, the implied cost of capital (ICC) is subject to a mispricing-driven measurement error. For undervalued stocks, the mispricing-driven measurement error is positive and increases with the degree of undervaluation while for overvalued stocks, the mispricing-driven...

The purpose of this paper is to examine whether earnings quality contributes to the book-to- market's predictive power in the cross section of stock returns. Earnings quality is embedded in the value-growth effect given that retained earnings is a key part of the book value of equity. Earnings...

The implied cost of capital (ICC), the internal rate of return that equates speculative stock price to discounted expected future dividends, includes a mispricing-driven component in addition to expected return. The estimated relation of a mispricing-associated factor (X) with ICC is thus a...