We examine in this paper the training and test set performance of several equity factor models with a dataset of 20 years of data, 1,200 stocks and 100 factors. First, we examine several models to forecast expected returns, which can be used as baselines for more complex models: linear...

This paper revisits the performance of frequently used risk forecasting methods, such as the Value-at-Risk models. The aim is to analyze its performance, and mitigate its pitfalls by incorporating conditional variance estimates, as generated by a GARCH model. Notably, this paper tests several...

Hedge Fund returns are often highly serially correlated mainly due to illiquidity exposures given that investments in such securities tend to be inactively traded and associated market prices are not always readily available. Following that, observed returns of such alternative investments tend...

The asset allocation decision often relies upon correlation estimates arising from short-run data. Short-run correlation estimates may, however, be distorted by frictions. In this paper, we introduce a long-run wavelet-based correlation estimator, distinguishing between long-run common behavior...

We provide an extreme value analysis of the returns of Bitcoin. A particular focus is on the tail risk characteristics and we will provide an in-depth univariate extreme value analysis. Those properties will be compared to the traditional exchange rates of the G10 currencies versus the US...

Estimation of volatility is important for many financial applications. The most common methods are based on a time series analysis, either sampling prices at regular intervals or using extreme values from within the time intervals. We examine an alternative, where we use the exit times from a...

It is generally said that out-of-the-money call options are expensive and one can ask the question from which moneyness level this is the case. Expensive actually means that the price one pays for the option is more than the discounted average payoff one receives. If so, the option bears a...

We construct a Malmquist productivity index based on stochastic non-parametric envelopment of data (StoNED) method, and we study how the distributional assumptions in the second StoNED stage affect productivity change and its decompositions. Our discussion show that the distributional...

In many economic models a central variable of interest is lifetime or permanent income which is not observed in survey data sets and typically proxied by annual income information. To assess the quality of such approximations, we use a unique source of lifetime earnings - the German pension...

This paper seeks to examine the determinants of FDI into Latin America with an aim to make policy recommendations to boost FDI into the region. Using data for 17 Latin American countries for the period from 1990 to 2013 and two-way fixed effects method of estimation, the paper is an attempt to...