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We apply a new methodology, modified Granger causality tests, to further analyze the information flows between earnings and forecasts. Our application focuses on the dynamic interaction between reported earnings and analysts' forecasts. Based on long time series of analyst earnings forecasts and...
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Using an extensive Australian sample, we explore two related issues in the context of a default risk asset-pricing factor (DEF) over the business cycle: whether a DEF can explain the size premium in the three-factor Fama–French (FF) model; and whether a DEF has a separate role itself in a...
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Pervasive herding may cause homogenous trading patterns, both within and across stocks and thus may impact upon an important aspect of the market microstructure – liquidity. Potentially, herding could simultaneously affect the liquidity of both individual stocks and that of the market. For...
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We examine the impact of information shocks on systematic equity risk in a multiple-factor linear model framework. Using nonparametric and parametric models, we test for the presence of asymmetric effects of information shocks on the Fama–French factor betas. Overall, we document that market,...
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