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In this paper, we investigate the impact of demographic uncertainty in a multi-regional general equilibrium, overlapping generations model (INGENUE 2). Specifically, we will consider the level of uncertainty in each of the ten major regions of the world, and their correlation across regions. In...
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We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for the estimation of the pricing kernel. Historical stock returns and option market data are combined through the Dirichlet Process (DP) to construct an option-adjusted physical measure. The precision parameter of the DP process is calibrated to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506354
In this paper, we document evidence that downside betas tend to comove more than upside betas during a financial crisis, but upside betas tend to comove more than the downside betas during financial booms. We find that the asymmetry between Downside-Beta Comovement and Upside-Beta Comovement is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442899
When Capital Asset pricing Model (CAPM) is considered as valid asset pricing theory, Security Market Line (SML) is … returns need not be same as implied discount rates even when CAPM is applicable and markets are efficient. This is because the … over the forecast period. The single period return of CAPM changes every year as the market changes with economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081162
I study a parsimonious model of a time-varying market risk premium. State pricing is dominated by time preference shocks that may be independent of the consumption process. The model resolves several asset pricing puzzles and provides predictions for how the risk premium varies with measurable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091116
Which trading strategies differentiate skilled mutual fund managers from their unsuccessful peers? This study provides evidence for a positive association between holdings' implied cost of capital (ICC) and future fund performance. Consistent with large transaction costs of ICC-based investments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840019
We conduct a comprehensive comparison of market beta estimation techniques. We study the performance of several historical, time-series model, and option implied estimators for estimating realized market beta. Thereby, we find the hybrid methodology of Buss and Vilkov (2012) to consistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972381