This paper analyses the response of inflation in the euro area to five macroeconomic shocks through the use of results derived from Eurosystem large-scale macroeconomic models. The main finding is that only a fiscal shock, and to a lesser extent a TFP shock, generate marked inflation...

The pricing mechanism in the gasoline market has often been the subject of public debate in Greece during the crisis years. Inefficient pricing could imply oligopolistic practices in the market and losses to consumers' welfare in a period characterised by a dramatic fall in consumers' income and...

The pricing mechanism in the gasoline market has often been the subject of public debate inGreece during the crisis years. Inefficient pricing could imply oligopolistic practices in themarket and losses to consumers’ welfare in a period characterised by a dramatic fall inconsumers’ income...

This paper is an exercise in applied macroeconomic forecasting. We examine the forecasting power of a vector error-correction model (VECM) that is anchored by a long-run equilibrium relationship between Greek national income and productive public expenditure as suggested by the economic theory....