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strategies may be well described by Taylor rules with a time-varying inflation target, a time-varying natural rate of … benchmark model that does not account for changes in trend inflation and trend unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326550
strategies may be well described by Taylor rules with a time-varying inflation target, a time-varying natural rate of … currencies considered, outperforming a benchmark model that does not account for changes in trend inflation and trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118184
This paper studies monetary policy rules in a small open economy with Inflation Targeting, incomplete pass-through and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523924
Determining the exchange rate pass-through on inflation is a necessity for central banks as well as for firms and … short and long-term impact of an exchange rate shock on inflation along the distribution chain in the presence of … have showed that the accumulated PT on inflation of import prices rises from 20% in the first month of the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554700
The term structure of inflation forecasts disagreement in the US can be summarized by two components: disagreement … about the trend inflation, and disagreement about the cyclical inflation. While the former has identical impacts on … forecasting horizons. Only the cyclical inflation disagreement has a significant impact on monetary policy efficacy. High …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349318
We look at a panel of Latin American countries from 1970 and 2016 to enquire how exchange rate pass-through has changed over time, and whether this owes to monetary or real shocks hitting the economy. We estimate conventional pass-through measures, both short and long run; then we obtain rolling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020009
Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a … standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility …. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843500
should be assessed precisely and taken into account in monetary policy decisions and inflation forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606105
economies, we find that the main driver of consumer price inflation is the global demand shock. A negative global demand shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176017
The Taylor rule has become the dominant model for academic evaluation of out-of-sample exchange rate predictability. Two versions of the Taylor rule model are the Taylor rule fundamentals model, where the variables that enter the Taylor rule are used to forecast exchange rate changes, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904307