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EGARCH model. Empirical results indicate significant return and volatility spillover effects during the full sample and the …-movements, and strong volatility persistence. During the Russian Great Recession subsample, the ownreturn effects of the markets are … partially integrated and the volatility transmission linkages across them are not that strong in crises periods, thus confirming …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011454085
framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our … countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other … results show that by considering time-varying return and volatility spillovers when calculating the risk-minimising portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407
model. Empirical results indicate significant return and volatility spillover effects during the full sample, the Russian … strong volatility persistence. During the Russian Great Recession subsample, the own-return effects of the markets are … partially integrated and the volatility transmission linkages across them are not that strong in crises periods, thus confirming …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997279
We investigate the sources of time-variation in the stock-oil correlation over the period 1986-2018. We first derive an oil futures return news decomposition following Campbell and Shiller (1988) and Campbell (1991). Then, for both stock and oil, we split unexpected returns into cash-flow news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826383
This paper investigates persistence in high-frequency, intraday data (and also daily and monthly ones) in the case of the EuroStoxx 50 futures over the period from 2002 to 2018 (720 million trade records) using R/S analysis and the Hurst exponent as a measure of persistence. The results indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419363
returns fall sharply; (2) it rises as the stock market volatility increases; (3) it also rises when general financial market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022330
This study uses the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and … other major asset markets. We have extended the MEM of Engle et al. (2012) and ddd to include asymmetric volatility … vary over time. Our results reveal that the stock market is the dominant contributor to volatility spillover, while the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433363
by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and … foreign exchange markets. -- Random Lognormal cascades ; GMM estimation ; best linear forecasting ; volatility of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389845
This paper proposes Spillover Persistence as a measure for financial fragility. The volatility paradox predicts that … fragility builds up when volatility is low, which challenges existing measures. Spillover Persistence tackles this challenge by …. Variation in financial constraints connects Spillover Persistence to fragility. The results are consistent with the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499703
demand, triggering lasting volatility outbursts. Eventually, however, higher stock market risk reduces stock market … participation and volatility decreases again. Simulations furthermore reveal that our approach is also able to produce bubbles and … crashes, excess volatility, fat-tailed return distributions and serially uncorrelated price changes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011702006