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, cumulatively, due to low bond yields since the onset of the Euro crisis. In order to determine the contribution of the "flight to … quality" to this sum, we define the flight to quality as a factor which has caused German bond yields and crisis country bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011685448
This paper analyzes the nominal yields of UK gilt-edged securities ("gilts") based on a Keynesian perspective, which holds that the short-term interest rate is the primary driver of the long-term interest rate. Quarterly data are used to model gilts' nominal yields. These models bring to light...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291941
-varying compensation for expected and unexpected inflation shocks embedded in the sovereign bond yields of Germany, France, Japan and the … United States. Our empirical results suggest that the current environment of very low nominal sovereign bond yields, is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842461
This paper presents empirical models of Mexican government bond (MGB) yields based on monthly macroeconomic data. The … industrial production. John Maynard Keynes claimed that government bond yields move in lockstep with the short-term interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432230
we label Convergence Gap (CG), contains information that is valuable for bond predictability. Adding CG in forecasting … regressions of bond excess returns significantly raises the R-squared, and restores countercyclical variation in bond risk premia … the path of rates, our factor has predictive ability for real bond excess returns. The importance of the gap remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134247
In this paper, we study the dynamics and drivers of sovereign bond yields in euro area countries using a factor model … mechanism of bond yields. Our key contribution is exploring both the global and the local dimensions of bond yield determinants … periphery euro area bond yields from the core countries yields following the financial crisis and the scope of their subsequent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963728
In this paper, we study the dynamics and drivers of sovereign bond yields in euro area countries using a factor model … mechanism of bond yields. Our key contribution is exploring both the global and the local dimensions of bond yield determinants … periphery euro area bond yields from the core countries yields following the financial crisis and the scope of their subsequent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637545
-2019 on the European government bond yields.It adopts a novel econometric approach that combines a data-rich factor analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496467
-2016 on the government bond yields of eight European Monetary Union countries and up to eleven different maturities. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147209
Since the Great Recession, the main evolution in monetary policy has been its attempts to affect the medium and the long-term interest rates with instruments other than the policy rate. Consequently, measuring the stance of monetary policy by a single interest rate becomes problematic. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160681