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decomposing realized volatility in its continuous and discontinuous jump component. First, we analyze the relation between … volatility and trading activity. Coherent with existing studies we find that the driving factor of the relation between … Data ; Realized Volatility ; Price Jump ; Trading Activity ; Urgent Market Message …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008989697
In a tractable stochastic volatility model, we identify the price of the smile as the price of the unspanned risks … traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a …-form and structural models of stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
realized volatility and its continuous and jump components. Considering buyer-initiated and seller-initiated trades and … investigate whether buyer and seller initiated trades as two factors of realized volatility, we investigate whether they have an … asymmetric effect on realized volatility. The stocks in the ASX50 sampled over the period January 1996 to April 2010 reveal that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138999
The prices of derivatives contracts can be used to estimate ‘risk-neutral' probability density functions that give an indication of the weight investors place on different future prices of their underlying assets, were they risk-neutral. In the likely case that investors are risk-averse, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104539
This paper studies the predictability of S&P500 returns using short term risk premia as a conditioning variable. We construct dividend prices using futures data and identify short term risk premia by projecting excess returns of dividend claims on their lagged prices. Regression results for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091355
The shape of the VIX term structure conveys information about the price of variance risk rather than expected changes in the VIX, a rejection of the expectations hypothesis. A single principal component, Slope, summarizes nearly all this information, predicting the excess returns of S&P 500...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937549
This paper examines the cross section of options implied volatility and corporate bond returns. We document a strong … predictive ability of corporate bond returns using changes in call and put options implied volatility. Specifically, a strategy … of buying (selling) the portfolio with lowest (highest) changes in options implied volatility yields an average monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039862
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
in volatility. The economic rationale for the effect is still controversial. The competing explanations have different … implications for the origin of the relationship: Are volatility changes induced by index movements, or inversely, does volatility … implied volatility and index return in Germany based on Granger causality tests and impulse-response functions. Our dataset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257347
This paper documents law of one price violations in equity volatility markets. While tightly linked by no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391498