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Reduced-form models of default calibrated to expected default losses and comovements between default losses and an equity-based pricing kernel generate CDS spreads that tend to fall below historical values. In frictionless markets, resolving this credit spread puzzle requires credit-market...
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Firm political contributions are associated with lower credit default swap spreads for contributing firms. To address endogeneity, we employ novel instruments and use a set of exogenous events on campaign contribution restrictions: (a) the passage of the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (BCRA)...
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Recent studies focused on testing the Easterlin hypothesis (happiness and national income correlate in the cross-section but not over time) on a global level. We make a case for testing the Easterlin hypothesis at the country level where individual panel data allow exploiting important...
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We study how the credit desk profitability of U.S. dealers that trade corporate bonds and single-name credit default swaps (CDS) affects the level and correlation of liquidity in these two markets. Supervisory datasets allow us to identify the dealers involved in each transaction and to observe...
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Market-implied ratings gained importance as efficient early warnings of official credit rating migrations. We build a two-dimensional implied rating system that gathers information from both the bond and the CDS markets. The system is able to outdo each of the corresponding one-dimensional...
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This study examines the impact of changes in the yield curve factors on the Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads of the U.S. industrial sectors. Stock returns and the crude oil-based volatility index are used in a quantile regression framework to test the validity of Merton’s model. The results...
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