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The study provides evidence of the nature of the volatility transmission for daily currency futures contracts traded at … futures contracts and the Japanese yen currency futures contracts are used to study inter-market spillover effects in the non …-overlapping time zones. Employing GARCH specifications, the results find strong volatility transmission only from the IMM to the SIMEX …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051930
Option prices seem to behave in ways inconsistent with the Black-Scholes model. Implied volatility varies with the … strike price in a parabolic shape that is often called the volatility 'smile.' My objective in this paper is to identify … promising in explaining the volatility smile. Applying this to the ERM data, I find that the probability of a devaluation in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577049
We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coeffcient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009666907
This paper examines the cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options. The data used … in the empirical analysis consist of daily observations of implied volatilities for OTC options on the euro, Japanese yen … common factors can explain a vast proportion of the variation in volatility term structures across currencies. Furthermore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318310
We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero …-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward … slopes - volatility carry strategy - generates significant excess returns. The covariation with volatility carry returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489
I show that volatility risk of the dollar factor --- an equally weighted basket of developed U.S. dollar exchange rates … --- carries a significant risk premium and that it is priced in the cross-section of currency volatility excess returns. The … dollar factor volatility risk premium is negative on average with an upward sloping and concave term structure. Consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920214
The study conducts an empirical test on dollar-denominated sovereign credit spreads in emerging markets, including Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, the Philippines, the Russian Federation, and Turkey to examine their relationship with each country's exchange rate and the United States (US) Treasury...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756971
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774731
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508725
the pricing of European-style foreign currency options and for the volatility strike structure implicit in these contracts … is devoloped. The curvature of the volatility strike structure is explained by focusing attention on the expected … characteristic convex shape of volatility strike structures documented in the empirical literature. A volatility-based test for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476532