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bubbles”. In this paper, we provide a model-free test of rational bubbles and we apply it to the U.S. housing market. Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404365
's q ratio displays regular cycles of bubbles and crashes reflecting an agency problem between investors and producers. The … ; financial bubbles ; stock markets ; booms and crashes ; Tobin's q ; business cycles ; economic rents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009547387
median path of Tobin’s q ratio displays regular, periodic cycles of bubbles and crashes reflecting an agency problem between … ; efficient markets ; financial bubbles ; stock markets ; booms and crashes ; Tobin’s q ; business cycles ; economic rents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009663233
In this article, we developed a reliable method to detect house price bubbles using data for the largest Ukrainian … a bubble may be forming. In this paper, house price bubbles are detected with the help of two general approaches: ratio … prolonged period of house price bubbles is the one that coincides in time with the Global Financial Crisis - from late 2005 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013393559
I explore whether time-series methods exploiting the long-run equilibrium properties of the housing market might have detected the disequilibrium in U.S. house prices which pre-dated the Great Recession as it was building up. Based on real-time data, I show that a VAR in levels identified as in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011824294
For most of the past decades, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region has experienced rapid expansion, driven largely by increasing energy revenues, and growth-focused government policies. As the region's population increases in size, and becomes wealthier and more urbanized, significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102716
Housing prices in the US rose rapidly from 2000-2007Q3. Based on this evidence, the financial and general press concluded the US experienced a housing bubble. The efficient market theory denies the possibility of a bubble. This paper applies the statistical technique of cointegration to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039155
The paper presents a general method for estimating a country's level of fundamental house prices and its interaction with actual house prices. We set up a unified empirical model which can be used to analyze the time-series behavior of the fundamental house price and to test various hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568744
The aim of this paper is to find out whether there is exuberance in regional house prices in Turkey. For this purpose, we analyze real hedonic house prices and price to rent ratios countrywide as well as for 26 geographic regions at the NUTS2 level from January 2010 to January 2019. We perform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012036945
, abound. While the role of investor contagion in asset bubbles has been explored extensively in the theoretical literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524199