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Target prices are an estimation of the future value of a company’s stock price. Although there is a general consensus about the importance of firm’s fundamentals when forecasting, there are also other determinants. This article sheds light on the effects of uncertainty, financial stress and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307999
After the announcement of the corporate quantitative easing program by the European Central Bank, nonfinancial corporations timed the corporate bond market by shifting their issuance toward bonds that were eligible for the program. However, issuers of eligible bonds did not increase total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853988
We investigate the extent to which international and domestic economic policy uncertainty (EPU) impacts analysts’ earnings forecasts for Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) listed firms. Over a twenty-year period, we demonstrate that EPU is positively associated with analyst coverage, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355572
We examine how information disclosures from private firms affect analysts’ public firm earnings forecasts. On one hand, private firm disclosures allow analysts to better understand industry-wide business conditions, enabling them to forecast the peer public firm earnings more accurately. On...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362262
Sell-side security analysts are considered as financial intermediaries who process, transform and transfer information in order to enable investors to make appropriate investment decisions. Prior research provides mixed evidence on the effect of experience on analysts' accuracy. In this paper we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056181
We examine whether finance professionals deviate from Bayes’ theorem on the processing of nondiagnostic information when forecasting quarterly earnings. Using field data from sell-side financial analysts and employing a regression discontinuity design, we find that analysts whose forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254030
After the announcement of the European Central Bank’s corporate quantitative easing program, non-financial corporations timed the bond market by shifting their issuance toward bonds eligible for the program. However, issuers of eligible bonds did not increase total issuance compared to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233626
Using a novel dataset, we show that components of firms' GAAP earnings stemming from ancillary business activities or transitory shocks are significant in frequency and magnitude. These components have grown over time and are dispersed across various sections of the 10-K. Excluding them from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174546
This paper investigates the purchases and redemptions of a large cross-sectional sample of German equity funds. We find that investors punish bad performance by selling their shares, but also have a tendency to sell winners. Investors in large fund families show higher sales and redemption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008666514
We present evidence of the impact of buy-side analysts on the behavior and performance of fund managers. Using data provided by a large global asset manager, we relate buy-side analysts' recommendations to fund transactions on a daily basis. Our results show that buy-side analysts have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008666522