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Aggregate Trading Behaviour of Technical Models and the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate 1976-2007
Schulmeister, Stephan - 2010
fluctuations of the yen-dollar exchange rate. I show first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135725
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The forward premium puzzle and latent factors day by day
Bernoth, Kerstin; Hagen, Jürgen von; Vries, Casper G. de - 2010
We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949496
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The Forward Premium Puzzle and Latent Factors Day by Day
Bernoth, Kerstin - 2010
We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141467
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The Forward Premium Puzzle and Latent Factors Day by Day
Bernoth, Kerstin - 2011
We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119324
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Peso-Dollar forward market analysis : explaining arbitrage opportunities during the financial crisis
Hernández, Juan R. - 2014
Using a vector error correction model I test whether shocks in the funding liquidity conditions in the U.S. and Europe separately explain deviations from the covered interest parity (CIP) between the U.S. Dollar and the Mexican Peso. I find that: (1) Apparent deviations from the CIP seem to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370903
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Cross-sectional returns with volatility regimes from a diverse portfolio of emerging and developed equity indices
Sakowski, Paweł; Ślepaczuk, Robert; Wywiał, Mateusz - In: E-Finanse : finansowy kwartalnik internetowy 12 (2016) 2, pp. 23-35
. Proposed extensions include a volatility regime switching mechanism (using dummy variables and the Markov approach) and the … fifth risk factor based on realized volatility of index returns. Moreover, instead of using data for stocks of a particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896
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Multivariate Downside Risk : Normal Versus Variance Gamma
Wallmeier, Martin - 2010
Although several types of options on multiple assets are popular in today's financial markets, valuing multi-asset options is still a challenge in finance. The standard framework of multivariate normality is often inappropriate, since it ignores fat tails and other stylized facts of asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144530
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Equity Volatility Term Structures and the Cross-Section of Option Returns
Vasquez, Aurelio - 2016
The slope of the implied volatility term structure is positively related to future option returns. We rank firms based … on the slope of the volatility term structure and analyze the returns for straddle portfolios. Straddle portfolios with … high slopes of the volatility term structure outperform straddle portfolios with low slopes by an economically and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008475
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The Profitability of Technical Stock Trading has Moved from Daily to Intraday Data
Schulmeister, Stephan - 2010
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135708
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The Profitability of Technical Stock Trading Has Moved from Daily To Intraday Data
Schulmeister, Stephan - 2021
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since .the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226778