The objective of this paper is to estimate the Okun’s coefficient, and to check the validity of Okun’s law in some Asian countries, whether it is valid or not, for this purpose we have used the time series annual data during the period 1980-2006. Engle Granger (1987) co integration technique...

We study the long-run interaction between Germany’s economic growth trajectory and demographic aging. Using a comprehensive dataset, we leverage the classical production function approach to estimate potential output growth between 1970 and 2070. We account for the inherent uncertainty in our...

We propose a multivariate Bayesian state space model to identify potential growth and the output gap consistent with the dynamics of the underlying production sectors of the economy and those of inflation and the labor market. Our approach allows us to decompose economic fluctuations and...