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The distribution of the economic activity in European region : identification of cluster
López, Fernando A.; Angulo, Ana M.; Mur, Jésus; Artal … - 2011
Agglomeration economies play an important role in the explanation of the development and regional growth. For this reason, there exists a growing interest in the analysis of standards of co-localisation of the economic activities. This topic has been dealt with from different approaches using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011542559
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The importance of spatial autocorrelation for regional employment growth in Germany
Zierahn, Ulrich - 2010
In analyzing the disparities of the regional developments in the volume of employment in Germany, in the recent … focuses on the importance of spatial dependencies using spatial autocorrelation in order to analyze regional employment … indicate that the exogenous variables’ spatial lag sufficiently explains the spatial autocorrelation of regional employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008748286
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The Importance of Spatial Autocorrelation for Regional Employment Growth in Germany
Zierahn, Ulrich - 2011
In analyzing the disparities of the regional developments in the volume of employment in Germany, in the recent … focuses on the importance of spatial dependencies using spatial autocorrelation in order to analyze regional employment … indicate that the exogenous variables' spatial lag sufficiently explains the spatial autocorrelation of regional employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125944
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The importance of spatial autocorrelation for regional employment growth in Germany
Zierahn, Ulrich - 2010
The regional employment growth in Germany is characterized by huge disparities. Whereas institutional factors might … explain the disparities of employment growth between nations, they can only account for a minor fraction of the regional … employment growth. Instead the sectoral structure of employment is often seen as a major reason for regional disparities. An …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012620964
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Interregional spillovers and urban-rural disparity in U.S. employment growth
Saito, Hisamitsu; Gopinath, Munisamy; Wu, JunJie - 2010
A wide urban-rural disparity is observed in employment growth in the United States. For example, employment growth … examine the sources of U.S. employment growth using the county-level industry data. From an analytical labor-market model, we … derive equilibrium employment growth as a function of growth in neighborhood characteristics and initial conditions such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573731
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Forecasting the prices and rents for flats in large German cities
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Mense, Andreas - 2012
In this paper, we make multi-step forecasts of the monthly growth rates of the prices and rents for flats in 26 largest German cities. Given the small time dimension, the forecasts are done in a panel-data format. In addition, we use panel models that account for spatial dependence between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579231
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Business confidence and forecasting of housing prices and rents in large German cities
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2014
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. Above all, we are interested in whether the local business confidence indicators can allow substantially improving the forecasts, given the local nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238830
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Business confidence and forecasting of housing prices and rents in large German cities
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2014
crises, which can, in turn spill, over to the real economy by producing deep recessions accompanied by huge employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505867
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Think national, forecast local : a case study of 71 German urban housing markets
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2015
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 145 indicators and ten types of forecast combination schemes to predict housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. We are interested in whether local business confidence indicators facilitate substantial improvements of the forecasts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482020
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Combining Survey Forecasts and Time Series Models : The Case of the Euribor
Krueger, Fabian - 2010
This paper reinterprets Maganelli's (2009) idea of "Forecasting with Judgment" to obtain a dynamic algorithm for combining survey data and time series models for macroeconomic forecasting. Unlike existing combination approaches which typically assign weights to alternative forecasts, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139480