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In this paper, we document that households' consumption expenditures crucially depend on their expected earnings - even after controlling for realized earnings, wealth and time-invariant unobserved characteristics such as permanent income and over-confidence. To explain this evidence, we develop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249642
In this paper, we document that households’ consumption expenditures depend on their expected earnings - even after controlling for realized earnings and wealth. To explain this evidence, we develop and structurally estimate a standard-incomplete markets model in which rational households...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329447
In this paper, we document that households' consumption expenditures depend on their expected earnings - even after controlling for realized earnings and wealth. To explain this evidence, we develop and structurally estimate a standard-incomplete markets model in which rational households...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332707
We investigate whether US households possess advance information about their future income and what this means for consumption insurance. Based on insights from a theoretical model, we propose a new test to detect advance information, which requires only panel data on consumption and income....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186823
Recessions and expansions are often caused or reinforced by developments in private consumption - the largest component of aggregate demand - which, as a result, varies over the business cycle. As such, an accurate measurement of the cyclical component of consumption and an understanding of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380708
/dissavings (40% and 47% in 2008-2010 and 2010-2012, respectively), and within‐household risk‐sharing (16% and 14%). Interestingly …This paper aims to fill the gaps in the analysis of risk‐sharing channels at the microlevel, both within and across … households. Using data from the Bank of Italy's Survey on Household Income and Wealth covering the financial crisis, we are able …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316210
--956) test if risk sharing across households is complete in the sense that household consumption moves one-for-one with aggregate … consumption. In their studies the source of income risk is idiosyncratic, and agents can share risk across the entire economy …. Using a sample of households from the Panel Study on Income Dynamics (PSID), we explore whether households share the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014140765
Households face earnings risk which is non-normal and varies by age and over the income distribution. We show that … assets. Because households are subject to more background risk than previously considered, the estimated model implies a … substantially lower coefficient of risk aversion. We also find renewed support for rule-of-thumb investment strategies under the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278693
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013502489
and household welfare. We estimate Euler equations and measure the volatility of unpredictable changes in consumption as …, and document that despite the increase in household debt between 1983 and 2007, there was no decline in the proportion of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087209