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provides a consistent narrative of the main regional contributors of world economy's weakness. Third, it allows to perform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249766
A large empirical literature has shown that countries that trade more with each other have more correlated business cycles. We show that previous estimates of this relationship are biased upward because they ignore common trade exposure to other countries. When we account for common trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231944
A large empirical literature has shown that countries that trade more with each other have more correlated business cycles. We show that previous estimates of this relationship are biased upward because they ignore common trade exposure to other countries. When we account for common trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291764
This paper studies the role of differences in the patterns of production and international trade on the business cycle volatility of emerging and developed economies. We study a multi-sector small open economy in which firms produce and trade commodities and manufactures. We estimate the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911446
share of the world factor as a source of the international transmission of fluctuations is still significant, this is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305394
This paper studies the business cycle implications of entry costs in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with firm entry and nominal rigidity. Simulations show that my baseline model matches the dynamics observed in the data fairly well. Remarkably, it overcomes the difficulties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097653
the world real interest rate. Our results indicate that while trade shocks account for roughly 45 percent of economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315521
About twenty years ago, an article by van der Ploeg analysed the implications of the J-curve effect for the political business cycle in a small open economy [van der Ploeg (1989c)]. It was them shown that a sudden jump on the exchange rates in the election day should be observed if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502972
A considerable degree of business cycle synchronization is key to a successful operating currency union. The European Monetary Union as well as many other countries strives to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) because of its reputation as being highly beneficial for the host economy. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010432451