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Market Hypothesis sense. The paper tries to show that this so-called excess volatility is to a large extend the result of the …, constant dividend growth rates as well as non-variable discount rates. It is shown that indeed volatility declines considerably … cashflow ; excess volatility ; variance bound test ; rational expectations …
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This paper applies a Bayesian break method to studying the empirical time-varying relations between stock price ratios and subjective expectations across the market and 30 industry portfolios monthly from 1976 to 2020. Cash flow expectations unconditionally explain 80% of price variations since...
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