The US-China trade deal has received at best a lukewarm initial reception from the trade policy community. China is to buy US$ 200 billion of US goods and services per annum in 2020 and 2021 above 2017 baseline levels; the US lowers tariffs by 7.5% on imports from China of US$120 billion of...

Does international conflict induce foreign firms to “follow the flag” and exit from a profitable market? We show that the US-China trade war broadly elevated political risks for multinational corporations (MNCs) operating in China, increasing firm exit overall. However, investment treaties...

This paper provides evidence on the consumption effects of trade shocks by exploiting changes in US and Chinese trade policy between 2017 and 2018. The analysis uses a unique data set with the universe of new auto sales at the US county level, at a monthly frequency, and a simple...

This paper provides evidence on the consumption effects of trade shocks by exploiting changes in US and Chinese trade policy between 2017 and 2018. The analysis uses a unique data set with the universe of new auto sales at the US county level, at a monthly frequency, and a simple...

This paper uses novel barcode-level country of origin data to study the incidence of the US-China trade war in 2018-2019. I find that the incidence of these policies initially fell entirely to US consumers, which is in line with previous research. However in the medium to long-run I find that...