forecasting of inflation in Nigeria for the period of 1961 { 2016. The study employed Granger causality test, Au- toregressive … inflation threshold of 14% -15% both in the short run and long run was established for Nigeria. As for the forecasting of … inflation, the findings showed that VAR (1) could forecast inflation rate in Nigeria with high degree of accuracy. Hence, this …

frequency information into one model. We consider subsample averaging, bootstrap averaging, forecast averaging methods for the … forecasting the daily S&P 500 index return quantile (Value-at-Risk or VaR is simply the negative of it), using high …-frequency information is beneficial, often substantially and particularly so, in forecasting downside risk. Our empirical results show that …

small set of simple bivariate closed-loop time-series models for the prediction of price inflation and of long- and short …