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In dieser Studie werden die Effekte von Geld- und Fiskalpolitik auf Konsumentenerwartungen in Szenarien von hohem und niedrigem öffentlichen Schuldenstand empirisch untersucht. In Reaktion auf einen Anstieg der Staatsausgaben steigen Konsumpläne bei niedrigem, fallen jedoch bei hohem...
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Using new survey data on quantitative growth expectations of firms in Germany, we show that firms resort to local … information when forming expectations about aggregate growth. Firms extrapolate from the economic situation in their county … the high expectation dispersion across firms. Furthermore, we show that growth expectations are correlated with employment …
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Macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks exert differential effects on investment in disaggregate sectoral data. The response to macroeconomic shocks is hump-shaped, just as in aggregate data. The effects of sectoral innovations decrease monotonically. A calibrated model of investment with...
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